Welcome to Theology Thursday! Theology is the study of God, his relation to the world, and our relation to him; it is "faith seeking understanding." I hope these newsletters help enhance your faith and deepen your love for God and his people, the church.
Today's question:
Is belief in God reasonable?
Pastor Brady's thoughts:
After calculating the improbability of life arising by chance, atheist astronomer Fred Hoyle described the odds as “A tornado sweeping through a junkyard and assembling a Boeing 747.”
Some of what Christians believe is hard to accept. Some of the claims of the Bible seem very bizarre. Faith comes easy for some of us, but for many it is a lifelong struggle to trust the truth and grace of God presented to us in scripture.
If that’s you, I’d like you to consider Pascal’s Wager. Blaise Pascal was a French mathematician and physicist in the 1600s who came to Christ and made public arguments for the existence of God, including his famous “wager.”
It goes like this. Pascal suggested that when we have uncertainty about God’s existence, we ought still choose belief because it is the better logical choice. Here’s the calculation:
In other words, if you believe and God is not real, the loss is comparatively small. But if you choose not to believe and God is real, the loss is profound. So, even if you think the chance that God exists is small, the potential payoff (infinite gain vs. infinite loss) makes belief the “rational” wager.
This may feel overly calculated, even transactional in a faith-damaging way. We don’t want to choose God because of what we get out of it but because of who he is. Yet, Pascal’s Wager forces us to recognize that our lives are already invested in something. We are already wagering our time, trust, and allegiances to what we believe to be true. Pascal is simply asking us to consider whether giving that time, trust, and allegiance to God might not only be meaningful, but reasonable.
Like any good Christian, Pascal is not trying to beat skeptics over the head with the truth. Rather, he wants them to see that belief in the God of the Bible is not an outlandish leap of blind faith. Scripture, in a number of places, takes a similar approach. “Taste and see that the Lord is good,” Psalm 34:8 says. “Certainty” is not the goal of faith. Faith requires trust. We cannot be 100% certain. 90% will do. Maybe even 51%. Your salvation is not based on the strength of your faith but the object of your faith - Jesus Christ.
Faith, in this sense, can begin as a posture rather than a conclusion. It may look like praying honestly, even with doubt. It may mean living as though Christ’s teachings are true - choosing forgiveness, seeking mercy, practicing love - and watching what grows from that soil.
Pascal’s insight is not that faith is a gamble in the reckless sense, but that it is a step taken with thoughtful hope. When the stakes are eternal and the invitation is open, trusting God is not a wild guess - it is a courageous and considered beginning.
By faith we understand that the universe was formed at God’s command, so that what is seen was not made out of what was visible. - Hebrews 11:3
I invite you to watch this video from Gavin Ortlund: Pascal’s Wager is the Answer You’re Looking For.
TO KNOW GOD AND TO MAKE HIM KNOWN!
- Pastor Brady
Have a question for Theology Thursday? Send an email to office@minierchristian.org and we'll respond, or we'll include in a future Theology Thursday Buffet.
Today's question:
Is belief in God reasonable?
Pastor Brady's thoughts:
After calculating the improbability of life arising by chance, atheist astronomer Fred Hoyle described the odds as “A tornado sweeping through a junkyard and assembling a Boeing 747.”
Some of what Christians believe is hard to accept. Some of the claims of the Bible seem very bizarre. Faith comes easy for some of us, but for many it is a lifelong struggle to trust the truth and grace of God presented to us in scripture.
If that’s you, I’d like you to consider Pascal’s Wager. Blaise Pascal was a French mathematician and physicist in the 1600s who came to Christ and made public arguments for the existence of God, including his famous “wager.”
It goes like this. Pascal suggested that when we have uncertainty about God’s existence, we ought still choose belief because it is the better logical choice. Here’s the calculation:
- If you believe in God and God exists, you gain infinite reward (eternal happiness).
- If you believe and God doesn’t exist, you lose very little (some time, some pleasures).
- If you don’t believe and God exists, you risk infinite loss (eternal damnation).
- If you don’t believe and God doesn’t exist, you gain only limited, finite benefits (some time, some short-term pleasures).
In other words, if you believe and God is not real, the loss is comparatively small. But if you choose not to believe and God is real, the loss is profound. So, even if you think the chance that God exists is small, the potential payoff (infinite gain vs. infinite loss) makes belief the “rational” wager.
This may feel overly calculated, even transactional in a faith-damaging way. We don’t want to choose God because of what we get out of it but because of who he is. Yet, Pascal’s Wager forces us to recognize that our lives are already invested in something. We are already wagering our time, trust, and allegiances to what we believe to be true. Pascal is simply asking us to consider whether giving that time, trust, and allegiance to God might not only be meaningful, but reasonable.
Like any good Christian, Pascal is not trying to beat skeptics over the head with the truth. Rather, he wants them to see that belief in the God of the Bible is not an outlandish leap of blind faith. Scripture, in a number of places, takes a similar approach. “Taste and see that the Lord is good,” Psalm 34:8 says. “Certainty” is not the goal of faith. Faith requires trust. We cannot be 100% certain. 90% will do. Maybe even 51%. Your salvation is not based on the strength of your faith but the object of your faith - Jesus Christ.
Faith, in this sense, can begin as a posture rather than a conclusion. It may look like praying honestly, even with doubt. It may mean living as though Christ’s teachings are true - choosing forgiveness, seeking mercy, practicing love - and watching what grows from that soil.
Pascal’s insight is not that faith is a gamble in the reckless sense, but that it is a step taken with thoughtful hope. When the stakes are eternal and the invitation is open, trusting God is not a wild guess - it is a courageous and considered beginning.
By faith we understand that the universe was formed at God’s command, so that what is seen was not made out of what was visible. - Hebrews 11:3
I invite you to watch this video from Gavin Ortlund: Pascal’s Wager is the Answer You’re Looking For.
TO KNOW GOD AND TO MAKE HIM KNOWN!
- Pastor Brady
Have a question for Theology Thursday? Send an email to office@minierchristian.org and we'll respond, or we'll include in a future Theology Thursday Buffet.
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2026
January
Teaching Tuesday: In His Image - Genesis 1:1-2:3Theology Thursday: The Christlike CreedTeaching Tuesday: Right Relationship - Genesis 2:7-9, 15-25Theology Thursday: Stop Reading the NewsTeaching Tuesday: The Fall - Genesis 3Theology Thursday: Is eternal conscious torment biblical? Teaching Tuesday: First Family Feud - Genesis 4Theology Thursday: Praying for the persecuted church
February
Teaching Tuesday: First Family Feud - Genesis 4 CopyTheology Thursday: Does James 2:24 contradict justification by faith?Teaching Tuesday: The Promise - Genesis 9:8-17Theology Thursday: Her desire will be for her husband?Theology Thursday: What's the deal with speaking in tongues?Theology Thursday: Buffet 5
March
April
Theology Thursday: Why do Christians oppose abortion?Theology Thursday: What's this about revival?Theology Thursday: Would you consider coming back to church?Theology Thursday: How should Christians think about gambling?Theology Thursday: What’s the difference between “conservative” and “progressive” theology?
May
September
October
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2025
January
Theology Thursday: What is the purpose of Scripture?Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - God's BlessingTheology Thursday: Son of God, Son of ManTeaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Knowing GodTheology Thursday: Buffet 2Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Alive in ChristTheology Thursday: Murder is wrong, but...Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Unity in ChristTheology Thursday: God and "Natural" Disasters
February
Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Church MembershipTheology Thursday: Evil and SufferingTeaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Experiencing God's LoveTheology Thursday: God Is Into the Details (Exodus 25-30)Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Church GrowthTheology Thursday: About those Jesus adsTeaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Christian Living
March
Teaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Christ-centered RelationshipsTheology Thursday: Where We Come FromTeaching Tuesday: What Are We Doing Here? - Spiritual ConflictTheology Thursday: In essentials, unity...and so onTeaching Tuesday: Dying Breaths - Forsaken?Theology Thursday: Christians Only, but Not the Only ChristiansTheology Thursday: Where Scripture speaks...
April
Theology Thursday: No Creed but ChristTeaching Tuesday: Dying Breaths - Mission AccomplishedTheology Thursday: MCC Member ExpectationsTeaching Tuesday: Dying Breaths - Hosanna to the Humble KingTheology Thursday: This is our homecomingTeaching Tuesday: Easter 2025 - The Ragman Theology Thursday: Are all sins the same?Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - "Come, follow me."
May
Theology Thursday: The state of the churchTeaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - PrayerTeaching Tuesday: ScriptureTheology Thursday: What's wrong with health and wealth?Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - SolitudeTheology Thursday: What's the point of the Old Testament?Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - FastingTheology Thursday: Idols of the Heart
June
Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - ServiceTheology Thursday: Why did the Jews reject Jesus?Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - GenerosityTheology Thursday: Christians have to give...do we have to tithe?Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - SabbathTheology Thursday: Buffet 3Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - CommunityTheology Thursday: Can everyone understand scripture?
July
Teaching Tuesday: Beyond Belief - WitnessTheology Thursday: 5 QuestionsTeaching Tuesday: Bible Stories - JosephTheology Thursday: Who/what were the Nephilim?Teaching Tuesday: Bible Stories - Moses and the burning bushTheology Thursday: The oldest Christian church?Teaching Tuesday: Bible Stories - Joshua, Rahab, and JerichoTheology Thursday: Mike Humphries' TestimonyTeaching Tuesday: Bible Stories - Noami, Ruth, and BoazTheology Thursday: Church Membership - What, Why, Who
